Saratoga, Thu Aug 27, 2026

9 races · published 11:20 AM ET · card locked

4 value plays today · 5 races we're passing

StatusCompleted · races run

First post1:10 PM ET

Scratch checkChecked · 11:17 AM ET

Archived card · races already run

These plays were published and locked before first post on Thu Aug 27, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.

Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.

Edge of the Day

6TITAN READY

Race 8 · 5 1/2 furlongs turf

52%model1/1fair8/5boardWINpaid at the close

Our biggest edge on the card today (+22 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.

Today at SaratogaShowers And Thunderstorms, 81°F, wind 10 mph · rain 85%, off-track / soft-turf riskNWS forecast

Flags 4 of 9 races

New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.

Today’s plays4 flags

RaceHorseModelBoardEdge

R23Wingfoot26%7/2+8 pts R35Yinzer34%9/5+6 pts R45First Call Bob19%8/1+11 pts R86Titan Ready52%8/5+22 pts

Race 2 · 6 furlongs · dirt · Maiden claiming $20,000Flag

3WINGFOOT

Model

Fair

Board

26%

3/1

7/2

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Price may move A mid board price, it can hold or shorten into post. You are paid the closing price either way, so bet the horse and take the number you get.

Ranks #2 in our power figure blend. Barn angle strong here

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace2 of 6 show early speed, short of contested

Nobody in here is clearly entitled to the lead. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

The model’s read ▾

It rates second on our own win number, 14.8 points behind the top.

And the day: rain risk (85%), watch for an off track by post, which our number doesn’t account for.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
6	ICE HOUSE	41%	3/2	3/5	2/31·7d
3	WINGFOOT ◀	26%	3/1	7/2	4/8·8d
2	LOUGH CURRANE	13%	7/1	9/2	4/12·27d
4	BOOTSY'S A RASCAL	9%	10/1	10/1	20/74·20d
1	ROYAL MERIT	9%	10/1	8/1	12/15·7d
5	BOLD SCHOLAR	3%	30/1	20/1	3/11·7d

Race 3 · 1 mile · turf · Optional claiming $110,000Flag

5YINZER

Model

Fair

Board

34%

2/1

9/5

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price for this track, and prices this short more often shorten by post than not. Still a win play, but expect a smaller number than the board shows, because pari-mutuel pays the close. Size it smaller.

Ranks #2 in our power figure blend; projects as the lone early speed.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Lone speedone gets loose on the lead, 6 going

Alone on the lead5

One of the 6 looks alone on the lead, clear of the field on the early figures over a mile on turf, with nothing else in here entitled to go with it.

The model’s read ▾

YINZER is one of the more likely winners we flag today, and the board still prices it like a longer shot. The gap is smaller in points than some, but it is on a horse we genuinely rate to win.

It tops our own win number, 3.7 points clear of the next one, in a race where one of them looks like getting loose on the lead.

In a field of 6 it profiles as the lone speed over a mile on turf, likely uncontested on the front end, and we bumped it for that (×1.15).

And the day matters here: rain risk (85%) on a turf race. If it comes off the grass or the course goes soft, this read can shift. We don’t price going in advance.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
5	YINZER ◀	34%	2/1	9/5	2/10·11d
3	CAPITOL HILL	30%	5/2	8/5	8/78·6d
6	GENERAL PARTNER	16%	11/2	5/2	•1/14·6d
2	PIERRE	13%	13/2	8/1	•1/7·9d
1	BONUS MOVE	4%	25/1	10/1	25/35·26d
4	DISCREET DANCER	3%	30/1	20/1	5/9·5d

Race 4 · 1 1/8 miles · dirt · Claiming $55,000Flag

5FIRST CALL BOB

Model

Fair

Board

19%

4/1

8/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Price may move A mid board price, it can hold or shorten into post. You are paid the closing price either way, so bet the horse and take the number you get.

Ranks #2 in our power figure blend. Barn angle weak here

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Contested4 of 6 want the lead

Go forward23

Pace helps45

Four of the 6 are entitled to the early lead, so the early fractions over a mile and an eighth on dirt in a $55,000 claimer should be contested rather than soft.

The model’s read ▾

It rates third on our own win number, 8.7 points behind the top, and with 4 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.

4 of the 6 want the front over a mile and an eighth on dirt, and this one profiles to come from off it, so we pushed its number up for that (×1.1).

And the day: rain risk (85%), watch for an off track by post, which our number doesn’t account for.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
1	ALTERNATE REALITY	28%	5/2	2/1	22/32·12d
4	BEDARD	23%	7/2	8/5	•1/6·6d
5	FIRST CALL BOB ◀	19%	4/1	8/1	4/12·12d
3	BRAZENLY	13%	13/2	7/2	•1/6·19d
2	SAGAMORE MISCHIEF	8%	11/1	15/1	•1/39·13d
6	SEQUENTIAL	8%	12/1	5/1	•1/9·17d

Race 8 · 5 1/2 furlongs · turf · Stakes, $200,000 purseFlag

6TITAN READY

Model

Fair

Board

52%

1/1

8/5

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend. Barn angle strong here

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Contested3 of 8 want the lead

Go forward234678

Pace helps5

Three of the 8 are entitled to the early lead, so the opening quarter over five and a half furlongs on turf in a starter allowance should be contested rather than soft.

The model’s read ▾

This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.

It tops our own win number, 30.3 points clear of the next one, and with 3 of them wanting the front the early fractions should be honest.

3 of the 8 want the front over five and a half furlongs on turf, so the early fractions should be honest.

And the day matters here: rain risk (85%) on a turf race. If it comes off the grass or the course goes soft, this read can shift. We don’t price going in advance.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
6	TITAN READY ◀	52%	1/1	8/5	10/24·11d
5	RIVER OF DECEIT	22%	7/2	5/2	•1/5·13d
8	WOOD ISLAND	10%	9/1	7/2	2/87·7d
7	LEGACY LADY	5%	20/1	8/1	8/23·11d
2	AMERICAN POPE	4%	25/1	10/1	•1/68·33d
3	JOHNNY HOCKEY	3%	30/1	15/1	—
4	BETTABE TOUGH	3%	30/1	10/1	2/18·5d
1	SO ANGELINA	1%	99/1	50/1	30/30·21d

What to know about each race today

R26 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $20,000

3Wingfootclaimed last time out

R31 mile turfOptional claiming $110,000

2Pierrenew barn since the last start, now with David Jacobson
6General Partnerfirst start in 12 months

R41 1/8 miles dirtClaiming $55,000

4 of the 6 were claimed last time out

R55 1/2 furlongs turfMaiden special weight

5R Kan't Misswent off at 5/2 last time and finished 5th · first start on turf · bottom third of this field on turf breeding

R61 1/16 miles turfClaiming $55,000, non-winners of two lifetime

3Maximum Promiseclaimed last time out
7In The Darkclaimed last time out
8Chips And FishLuis R Rivera Jr is here for this one ride, the first of the meet

R76 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden special weight

9Blackjackblinkers on

R85 1/2 furlongs turfStakes, $200,000 purse

6Titan Readyfirst start on turf · new barn since the last start, now with Brad H Cox
8Wood Islandfirst start on turf · top third of this field on turf breeding

R91 1/16 miles turfStarter allowance, $50,000 level

5Rossbeighclaimed last time out

Facts about the race, not predictions. A class move is shown with the finish it came off so you can judge it; we do not claim any of these wins, and only the flagged win bets above are graded on the record.

The whole card every runner, our number beside the board

Every runner on the card: our win probability and fair odds beside the morning line, with the edge between them. Sortable by any column.
R	#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Edge	Rank	Why	Works
R16 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $35,000Even pacepass
R1	2	FUN TOPH FUN	32%	2/1	9/5	+4	1	BW	•1/11·7d
R1	1	BELTANDSUSPENDERS	23%	7/2	2/1	-3	2		41/96·12d
R1	6	CREAM PUFF	15%	11/2	4/1	-1	3	BW	•1/11·7d
R1	3	DADDY'S READY	13%	13/2	5/1	0			10/23·8d
R1	4	B MY LADY	11%	8/1	6/1	0		W	4/127·12d
R1	5	LORI'S DREAM	6%	15/1	12/1	0		B	4/10·11d
R26 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $20,000Even pace1 flag
R2	6	ICE HOUSE	41%	3/2	3/5	-8	1	BW	2/31·7d
R2	3	WINGFOOT	26%	3/1	7/2	+8	2	B	4/8·8d
R2	2	LOUGH CURRANE	13%	7/1	9/2	-2	3	B	4/12·27d
R2	4	BOOTSY'S A RASCAL	9%	10/1	10/1	+2	4	B	20/74·20d
R2	1	ROYAL MERIT	9%	10/1	8/1	0	5	W	12/15·7d
R2	5	BOLD SCHOLAR	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	6		3/11·7d
R31 mile turfOptional claiming $110,000Lone speed1 flag
R3	5	YINZER	34%	2/1	9/5	+6	2	▲	2/10·11d
R3	3	CAPITOL HILL	30%	5/2	8/5	0	1		8/78·6d
R3	6	GENERAL PARTNER	16%	11/2	5/2	-6	4	BW	•1/14·6d
R3	2	PIERRE	13%	13/2	8/1	+4	3		•1/7·9d
R3	1	BONUS MOVE	4%	25/1	10/1	-3	6		25/35·26d
R3	4	DISCREET DANCER	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	5		5/9·5d
R41 1/8 miles dirtClaiming $55,000Contested pace likely (4 early-speed types)1 flag
R4	1	ALTERNATE REALITY	28%	5/2	2/1	+2	1		22/32·12d
R4	4	BEDARD	23%	7/2	8/5	-7	3	▲	•1/6·6d
R4	5	FIRST CALL BOB	19%	4/1	8/1	+11	2	▲B	4/12·12d
R4	3	BRAZENLY	13%	13/2	7/2	-4	4	▼	•1/6·19d
R4	2	SAGAMORE MISCHIEF	8%	11/1	15/1	+3	5	▼W	•1/39·13d
R4	6	SEQUENTIAL	8%	12/1	5/1	-5	6		•1/9·17d
R55 1/2 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass
R5	1	ATTACHMENT	17%	9/2	7/2	0			7/18·13d
R5	4	DO WAH DIDDY	15%	11/2	4/1	0			7/8·8d
R5	8	FOLLOW YOUR HEART	14%	13/2	9/2	-1		BW	•1/38·12d
R5	5	R KAN'T MISS	14%	13/2	5/1	+1	1	BW	2/51·6d
R5	2	COASTAL BEAUTY	11%	8/1	6/1	0			9/40·11d
R5	7	FRACTAL GODDESS	11%	8/1	6/1	0			3/29·7d
R5	3	BRICKYARD BELLE	9%	10/1	8/1	0		BW	2/34·8d
R5	6	MIRREN	9%	10/1	8/1	0		W	•1/68·6d
R61 1/16 miles turfClaiming $55,000, non-winners of two lifetimeEven pacepass
R6	6	SHARONS PHAROAH	16%	5/1	3/1	-3	4	B	8/12·7d
R6	5	LIGHT CAV	16%	11/2	9/2	+2	2		17/39·5d
R6	2	URGENCY	15%	11/2	6/1	+4	1		12/42·7d
R6	3	MAXIMUM PROMISE	13%	13/2	4/1	-2	5	W	40/42·60d
R6	1	SALT SPARTAN	13%	13/2	6/1	+2	3	B	24/28·8d
R6	4	MADAGASCAR	10%	9/1	5/1	-3	8		14/20·9d
R6	7	IN THE DARK	9%	10/1	8/1	0	6		•1/5·7d
R6	8	CHIPS AND FISH	8%	12/1	10/1	+1	7	W	56/59·28d
R76 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden special weightEven pacepass
R7	9	BLACKJACK	17%	5/1	5/1	+4	1	BW	•1/75·5d
R7	3	ITS SATURDAY NIGHT	16%	11/2	4/1	0			2/7·5d
R7	5	PIRATE SHIP	12%	15/2	5/1	-1	3	W	4/62·6d
R7	8	NODIN	10%	9/1	10/1	+3	2	BW	•1/42·7d
R7	7	BIG BOLD RED	9%	10/1	8/1	+1	4		•1/6·8d
R7	1	COVERED OPTION	8%	11/1	8/1	0	5	B	7/19·10d
R7	6	TUTTO A POSTO	7%	12/1	6/1	-4	6		10/66·8d
R7	2	CYBERTAPPING	7%	12/1	10/1	0		W	3/36·8d
R7	10	OGUGUA	7%	12/1	10/1	0		W	•1/24·5d
R7	4	SILVERUS	7%	15/1	8/1	-2	7	W	2/38·6d
R85 1/2 furlongs turfStakes, $200,000 purseContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)1 flag
R8	6	TITAN READY	52%	1/1	8/5	+22	1	▼B	10/24·11d
R8	5	RIVER OF DECEIT	22%	7/2	5/2	-1	2	▲	•1/5·13d
R8	8	WOOD ISLAND	10%	9/1	7/2	-8	3	▼W	2/87·7d
R8	7	LEGACY LADY	5%	20/1	8/1	-4	5	▼B	8/23·11d
R8	2	AMERICAN POPE	4%	25/1	10/1	-3	4	▼B	•1/68·33d
R8	3	JOHNNY HOCKEY	3%	30/1	15/1	-2	6	▼B	—
R8	4	BETTABE TOUGH	3%	30/1	10/1	-4	7	▼	2/18·5d
R8	1	SO ANGELINA	1%	99/1	50/1	-1	8	BW	30/30·21d
R91 1/16 miles turfStarter allowance, $50,000 levelContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R9	4	COACH CASE	27%	5/2	8/5	-3	1	B	11/26·9d
R9	7	LEAVE ME	16%	5/1	5/1	+3	3	▲	29/41·7d
R9	2	FINAL DENILE	15%	11/2	9/2	+1	2		50/111·33d
R9	5	ROSSBEIGH	12%	7/1	10/1	+5	4		8/8·8d
R9	6	NAGUILE	10%	9/1	6/1	-2	5	▼BW	•1/11·6d
R9	1	BLAME IT ON K J	7%	15/1	8/1	-2	7	▲	4/10·8d
R9	8	ORTUS	6%	15/1	10/1	-1	6		5/19·13d
R9	3	MANOR PARK	5%	20/1	12/1	-1	8	▲	10/45·53d
R9	9	SOLO EMPIRE	2%	50/1	30/1	0	9	▼	2/3·7d

Rank is our power-figure blend, 1 is best. Why reads left to right: whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, and BLANK means we have nothing to say, so only rows with signal carry a mark. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.

Price your own ticket

The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 9 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.

Open the builders →

The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet

R1Lean2Fun Toph Fun32%2/19/5

How it sets up

dirtEven pacenone of the 6 shows early speed

Nothing in here has a clear claim on the lead. Nothing in here has shown real early speed on the figures the model reads.

Our top-rated horse in a $35,000 maiden claimer. We make the top one 32% against the board's 28%. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
2	FUN TOPH FUN	32%	2/1	9/5	•1/11·7d
1	BELTANDSUSPENDERS	23%	7/2	2/1	41/96·12d
6	CREAM PUFF	15%	11/2	4/1	•1/11·7d
3	DADDY'S READY	13%	13/2	5/1	10/23·8d
4	B MY LADY	11%	8/1	6/1	4/127·12d
5	LORI'S DREAM	6%	15/1	12/1	4/10·11d

R5Scramble1Attachment17%9/27/2

How it sets up

turfEven pace1 of 8 shows early speed, short of contested

No runner here is entitled to the lead on the early figures. Only one has shown genuine early speed, without enough company to rate the race contested.

An open heat. Nothing separates the top two by more than 2.2 points. We make the top one 17% against the board's 17%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
1	ATTACHMENT	17%	9/2	7/2	7/18·13d
4	DO WAH DIDDY	15%	11/2	4/1	7/8·8d
8	FOLLOW YOUR HEART	14%	13/2	9/2	•1/38·12d
5	R KAN'T MISS	14%	13/2	5/1	2/51·6d
2	COASTAL BEAUTY	11%	8/1	6/1	9/40·11d
7	FRACTAL GODDESS	11%	8/1	6/1	3/29·7d
3	BRICKYARD BELLE	9%	10/1	8/1	2/34·8d
6	MIRREN	9%	10/1	8/1	•1/68·6d

R6Scramble6Sharons Pharoah16%5/13/1

How it sets up

turfEven pace2 of 8 show early speed, short of contested

No one horse is entitled to the lead. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

An open heat. Nothing separates the top two by more than 0.6 points. We make the top one 16% against the board's 19%. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
6	SHARONS PHAROAH	16%	5/1	3/1	8/12·7d
5	LIGHT CAV	16%	11/2	9/2	17/39·5d
2	URGENCY	15%	11/2	6/1	12/42·7d
3	MAXIMUM PROMISE	13%	13/2	4/1	40/42·60d
1	SALT SPARTAN	13%	13/2	6/1	24/28·8d
4	MADAGASCAR	10%	9/1	5/1	14/20·9d
7	IN THE DARK	9%	10/1	8/1	•1/5·7d
8	CHIPS AND FISH	8%	12/1	10/1	56/59·28d

R7Lean9Blackjack17%5/15/1

How it sets up

dirtEven pacenone of the 10 shows early speed

Our top-rated horse in a maiden special weight. We make the top one 17% against the board's 13%. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
9	BLACKJACK	17%	5/1	5/1	•1/75·5d
3	ITS SATURDAY NIGHT	16%	11/2	4/1	2/7·5d
5	PIRATE SHIP	12%	15/2	5/1	4/62·6d
8	NODIN	10%	9/1	10/1	•1/42·7d
7	BIG BOLD RED	9%	10/1	8/1	•1/6·8d
1	COVERED OPTION	8%	11/1	8/1	7/19·10d
6	TUTTO A POSTO	7%	12/1	6/1	10/66·8d
2	CYBERTAPPING	7%	12/1	10/1	3/36·8d
10	OGUGUA	7%	12/1	10/1	•1/24·5d
4	SILVERUS	7%	15/1	8/1	2/38·6d

R9Chalk4Coach Case27%5/28/5

How it sets up

turfContested3 of 9 want the lead

Go forward69

Pace helps137

Three of the 9 are entitled to the early lead, so the early fractions over a mile and a sixteenth on turf in a restricted stakes should be contested rather than soft.

The board and our number agree in a restricted stakes. Three of them want the lead. The barn's angle in this exact spot is among the best in the field.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Works
4	COACH CASE	27%	5/2	8/5	11/26·9d
7	LEAVE ME	16%	5/1	5/1	29/41·7d
2	FINAL DENILE	15%	11/2	9/2	50/111·33d
5	ROSSBEIGH	12%	7/1	10/1	8/8·8d
6	NAGUILE	10%	9/1	6/1	•1/11·6d
1	BLAME IT ON K J	7%	15/1	8/1	4/10·8d
8	ORTUS	6%	15/1	10/1	5/19·13d
3	MANOR PARK	5%	20/1	12/1	10/45·53d
9	SOLO EMPIRE	2%	50/1	30/1	2/3·7d

Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 76ca96f3 · takeout (SAR) win 16% / exacta 18.5% · card SHA-256 4655d20cf706… · Scratch status checked at 11:17 AM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.

Edge Card runs a proprietary pre-race probability process: market expectations combined with licensed past-performance, pace, field-composition and connections information, evaluated within each race. Exact implementation details are not published. Structured analysis, not a proven edge; tracked publicly either way. How to read this card · the method in full · every call graded

Verifying this card

Downloadable artifact hash	`4655d20cf706c2a82a22bd4d587853295f08cecf41f6816fe7e053391359803a`
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