Del Mar, Thu Aug 6, 2026

8 races · published 11:47 AM ET · card locked

1 value play today · 7 races we're passing

StatusCompleted · races run

First post5:00 PM ET

Scratch checkChecked · 11:47 AM ET

Archived card · races already run

These plays were published and locked before first post on Thu Aug 6, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.

Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.

Edge of the Day

6NOKIE

Race 1 · 6 furlongs dirt

29%model5/2fair3/1boardWINpaid at the close

Our biggest edge on the card today (+9 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.

Today at Del MarMostly Sunny, 78°F, wind 0 to 10 mph · rain 2%, no off-track flagNWS forecast

Flags 1 of 8 races

New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.

Race 1 · 6 furlongs · dirt · Claiming $6,250Flag

6NOKIE

Model

Fair

Board

29%

5/2

3/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price the late money bets down. Still a win play, but expect a shorter number by post, pari-mutuel pays the closing price, so the edge is thinner here. Size it smaller.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace1 of 8 shows early speed, short of contested

Nobody in here is clearly entitled to the lead. Only one has shown genuine early speed, without enough company to rate the race contested.

The model’s read ▾

This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.

It tops our own win number, 7.1 points clear of the next one.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
6	NOKIE ◀	29%	5/2	3/1
4	ROCK N ROLL SONG	22%	7/2	5/2
5	HEADED FOR OM	13%	13/2	4/1
8	BUDS N SUDS	12%	7/1	6/1
1	RYTHEM GIRL	8%	12/1	10/1
7	SUPER ELLIE	7%	12/1	8/1
3	A ROUSING BABE	5%	15/1	8/1
2	VICTORIA'S JEWEL	3%	30/1	20/1

The whole card every runner, our number beside the board

Every runner on the card: our win probability and fair odds beside the morning line, with the edge between them. Sortable by any column.
R	#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Edge	Rank	Why
R16 furlongs dirtClaiming $6,250Even pace1 flag
R1	6	NOKIE	29%	5/2	3/1	+9	1
R1	4	ROCK N ROLL SONG	22%	7/2	5/2	-1	2
R1	5	HEADED FOR OM	13%	13/2	4/1	-3	4
R1	8	BUDS N SUDS	12%	7/1	6/1	+1	3
R1	1	RYTHEM GIRL	8%	12/1	10/1	+1	5
R1	7	SUPER ELLIE	7%	12/1	8/1	-2	6
R1	3	A ROUSING BABE	5%	15/1	8/1	-4	7
R1	2	VICTORIA'S JEWEL	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	8
R21 mile dirtOptional claiming $20,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R2	1	CHRISTEL CLEAN	21%	7/2	3/1	+1	1
R2	5	CECILIA STREET	18%	9/2	7/2	0	2
R2	3	DORIE MILLER	18%	9/2	5/2	-5	3	▲
R2	7	PAVEL'S ETOILE	13%	13/2	4/1	-3	6	▼
R2	2	JACKLYN LUCAS	11%	8/1	10/1	+3	5	▲
R2	6	LINO'S ANGEL	10%	9/1	8/1	+1	4
R2	4	BERRY VALLEY	9%	10/1	12/1	+3	7
R35 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass
R3	8	GOLDEN CLUB	29%	5/2	2/1	+3	1
R3	1	CHISELED IN STONE	20%	4/1	3/1	0
R3	5	GOLDEN SENTRY	13%	13/2	5/1	0
R3	2	ENJOY THE RIDE	13%	7/1	5/1	0
R3	6	INSTINCTIVELY	8%	11/1	8/1	-1	2
R3	3	HAUNTED HOUSE	6%	15/1	12/1	0
R3	4	RAPID THIRSTY	6%	15/1	12/1	0
R3	7	DIAMOND TORNADO	5%	20/1	12/1	-1	3
R41 mile dirtClaiming $12,500, non-winners of two lifetimeContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R4	4	CAN'T SAY THAT	22%	7/2	3/1	+2	2	▲
R4	7	GOOD GOLLY DOLLY	20%	4/1	7/2	+2	1
R4	5	BITTER TRUTH	14%	6/1	4/1	-2	4	▲
R4	6	DADDYGAVEITTOME	11%	8/1	8/1	+2	3	▼
R4	1	FORZA PALERMO	8%	12/1	8/1	-1	7
R4	8	LOVE LOCK	8%	12/1	8/1	-1	6	▼
R4	3	BUSY MAKING MUNNY	7%	12/1	12/1	+1	5	▼
R4	9	UNION HEIRESS	6%	15/1	8/1	-3	9
R4	2	CRYPTO CRUSH	4%	20/1	20/1	+1	8	▼
R55 furlongs turfMaiden special weightEven pacepass
R5	3	MISSED FORTUNE	23%	7/2	5/2	0
R5	8	HAL OF A DAY	20%	4/1	3/1	0
R5	6	CAN'TAFFORD NOT TO	16%	5/1	4/1	0
R5	7	NEVER OBEY	9%	10/1	8/1	0
R5	5	HALLAGREY	9%	10/1	8/1	0
R5	2	LIBERTY CAT	9%	10/1	8/1	0
R5	1	MIDNIGHT BUCK	7%	12/1	10/1	0
R5	4	BELIEVER	6%	15/1	12/1	0
R66 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden special weightContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R6	8	HIMARI	20%	4/1	3/1	0
R6	6	MESMERIZE	16%	11/2	4/1	0
R6	1	SAUCIER	14%	13/2	6/1	+2	1	▲
R6	4	STREET SWINDLER	13%	13/2	5/1	0
R6	7	LEAD THE WAY KAY	11%	8/1	6/1	0
R6	5	CONVO	10%	9/1	5/1	-3	3	▲
R6	9	GOLDEN HOPE	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	2	▼
R6	2	SLICE	5%	20/1	15/1	0	4	▲
R6	3	KIZAZI	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	5	▼
R71 3/8 miles turfOptional claiming $50,000, non-winners of one other than maiden, claiming or starterEven pacepass
R7	6	LIVING LIFE	24%	3/1	3/1	+4	1
R7	4	MYTHICAL REEL	20%	4/1	7/2	+2	2
R7	7	POOR CONNECTION	15%	6/1	5/1	+1	3
R7	1	RIMPROTECTOR	11%	8/1	8/1	+2	4
R7	2	ATOMIC AGE	11%	8/1	6/1	0	5
R7	5	GROGU	10%	9/1	4/1	-6	6
R7	8	SIR PERCIVAL	5%	20/1	12/1	-2	7
R7	3	FOMO JOE	5%	20/1	12/1	-2	8
R85 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $50,000Even pacepass
R8	1	LAST CHANCE DARCY	13%	13/2	8/1	+4	1
R8	2	ZADRA	13%	7/1	7/2	-5	4
R8	5	SISSEL	11%	8/1	4/1	-5	8
R8	6	SOPHIA MIJA	10%	9/1	8/1	+2	2
R8	7	GRIEVOUS ANGEL	9%	11/1	6/1	-3	7
R8	4	LOW LA BUNNY	8%	11/1	12/1	+2	5
R8	3	SNAPSHOT	8%	11/1	8/1	-1	6
R8	10	GRAPE JUICE TOO	8%	12/1	20/1	+4	3
R8	9	START D' ORO	6%	15/1	12/1	0
R8	11	ANYA	6%	15/1	12/1	0	9
R8	8	STYLISH COLLEEN	5%	20/1	20/1	+1	10
R8	12	VALENTINA JAN	4%	25/1	20/1	0	11

Rank is our power-figure blend, 1 is best. Why reads left to right: whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, and BLANK means we have nothing to say, so only rows with signal carry a mark. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.

Price your own ticket

The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 8 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.

Open the builders →

The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet

R2Chalk1Christel Clean21%7/23/1

How it sets up

dirtContested3 of 7 want the lead

Go forward7

Pace helps23

Three of the 7 are entitled to the early lead, so the early fractions over a mile on dirt in a $20,000 allowance optional claimer should be contested rather than soft.

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 allowance optional claimer. Three of them want the lead. We make the favourite, #3 DORIE MILLER, 18% against the board's 23%, shorter than we think it should be. Our own top-rated is #1 CHRISTEL CLEAN. We are not betting the race; take it as an opinion, not a play.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	CHRISTEL CLEAN	21%	7/2	3/1
5	CECILIA STREET	18%	9/2	7/2
3	DORIE MILLER	18%	9/2	5/2
7	PAVEL'S ETOILE	13%	13/2	4/1
2	JACKLYN LUCAS	11%	8/1	10/1
6	LINO'S ANGEL	10%	9/1	8/1
4	BERRY VALLEY	9%	10/1	12/1

R3Lean8Golden Club29%5/22/1

How it sets up

turfEven pace1 of 8 shows early speed, short of contested

Nothing in here has a clear claim on the lead. Only one has shown genuine early speed, without enough company to rate the race contested.

Our top-rated horse in a maiden special weight. We make the top one 29% against the board's 26%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 3 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
8	GOLDEN CLUB	29%	5/2	2/1
1	CHISELED IN STONE	20%	4/1	3/1
5	GOLDEN SENTRY	13%	13/2	5/1
2	ENJOY THE RIDE	13%	7/1	5/1
6	INSTINCTIVELY	8%	11/1	8/1
3	HAUNTED HOUSE	6%	15/1	12/1
4	RAPID THIRSTY	6%	15/1	12/1
7	DIAMOND TORNADO	5%	20/1	12/1

R4Lean4Can't Say That22%7/23/1

How it sets up

dirtContested3 of 9 want the lead

Go forward2368

Pace helps45

Three of the 9 are entitled to the early lead, so the early fractions over a mile on dirt in a $12,500 claimer should be contested rather than soft.

Our number likes this one in a $12,500 claimer, though it is not the top figure. Three of them want the lead. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 2 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
4	CAN'T SAY THAT	22%	7/2	3/1
7	GOOD GOLLY DOLLY	20%	4/1	7/2
5	BITTER TRUTH	14%	6/1	4/1
6	DADDYGAVEITTOME	11%	8/1	8/1
1	FORZA PALERMO	8%	12/1	8/1
8	LOVE LOCK	8%	12/1	8/1
3	BUSY MAKING MUNNY	7%	12/1	12/1
9	UNION HEIRESS	6%	15/1	8/1
2	CRYPTO CRUSH	4%	20/1	20/1

R5Chalk3Missed Fortune23%7/25/2

How it sets up

turfEven pacenone of the 8 shows early speed

No runner here is entitled to the lead on the early figures. Nothing in here has shown real early speed on the figures the model reads.

The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. We make the top one 23% against the board's 23%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
3	MISSED FORTUNE	23%	7/2	5/2
8	HAL OF A DAY	20%	4/1	3/1
6	CAN'TAFFORD NOT TO	16%	5/1	4/1
7	NEVER OBEY	9%	10/1	8/1
5	HALLAGREY	9%	10/1	8/1
2	LIBERTY CAT	9%	10/1	8/1
1	MIDNIGHT BUCK	7%	12/1	10/1
4	BELIEVER	6%	15/1	12/1

R6Chalk8Himari20%4/13/1

How it sets up

dirtContested3 of 9 want the lead

Go forward39

Pace helps125

Three of the 9 are entitled to the early lead, so the opening quarter over six and a half furlongs on dirt in a maiden special weight should be contested rather than soft.

The board and our number agree in a maiden special weight. Three of them want the lead.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
8	HIMARI	20%	4/1	3/1
6	MESMERIZE	16%	11/2	4/1
1	SAUCIER	14%	13/2	6/1
4	STREET SWINDLER	13%	13/2	5/1
7	LEAD THE WAY KAY	11%	8/1	6/1
5	CONVO	10%	9/1	5/1
9	GOLDEN HOPE	8%	11/1	12/1
2	SLICE	5%	20/1	15/1
3	KIZAZI	3%	30/1	20/1

R7Lean6Living Life24%3/13/1

How it sets up

turfEven pace2 of 8 show early speed, short of contested

No one horse is entitled to the lead. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

Our top-rated horse in a $50,000 allowance optional claimer. We make the top one 24% against the board's 20%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
6	LIVING LIFE	24%	3/1	3/1
4	MYTHICAL REEL	20%	4/1	7/2
7	POOR CONNECTION	15%	6/1	5/1
1	RIMPROTECTOR	11%	8/1	8/1
2	ATOMIC AGE	11%	8/1	6/1
5	GROGU	10%	9/1	4/1
8	SIR PERCIVAL	5%	20/1	12/1
3	FOMO JOE	5%	20/1	12/1

R8Lean1Last Chance Darcy13%13/28/1

How it sets up

dirtEven pace2 of 12 show early speed, short of contested

Our top-rated horse in a $50,000 maiden claimer. We make the top one 13% against the board's 9%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 4 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	LAST CHANCE DARCY	13%	13/2	8/1
2	ZADRA	13%	7/1	7/2
5	SISSEL	11%	8/1	4/1
6	SOPHIA MIJA	10%	9/1	8/1
7	GRIEVOUS ANGEL	9%	11/1	6/1
4	LOW LA BUNNY	8%	11/1	12/1
3	SNAPSHOT	8%	11/1	8/1
10	GRAPE JUICE TOO	8%	12/1	20/1
9	START D' ORO	6%	15/1	12/1
11	ANYA	6%	15/1	12/1
8	STYLISH COLLEEN	5%	20/1	20/1
12	VALENTINA JAN	4%	25/1	20/1

Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 041077ef · takeout (DMR) win 15.43% / exacta 22.68% · card SHA-256 b61e301215fa… · Scratch status checked at 11:47 AM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.

Edge Card runs a proprietary pre-race probability process: market expectations combined with licensed past-performance, pace, field-composition and connections information, evaluated within each race. Exact implementation details are not published. Structured analysis, not a proven edge; tracked publicly either way. How to read this card · the method in full · every call graded

Verifying this card

Downloadable artifact hash	`b61e301215faf08d48fca74da3f86c01aa958ca6ade0f8bb85d6fe8420092c8c`
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